Tag : futures

The Currency Report

The Currency Report

Large Currency Speculators sharply increased net positions short British Pound while adding to net longs in Japanese Yen, latest CFTC data shows…

2016 03 28 CD

(Commitments of Traders Data)

The latest CFTC data Large Currency Speculators sharply increased net positions short British Pound while adding to net longs in Japanese Yen.  Significant percent change moves highlight one of the main goals of this report; which is to keep an eye on what large speculators have been doing over the longer term with their positions, with the assumption that large speculators are positioning in the direction of the longer term trend.

The sleeper data in this report in my opinion is the Canadian dollar, which showed net shorts declined 17% this week, following last week’s 34% decline.  Continuing declines in net short positions by large specs in this ‘Commodity Currency’ may be indicative of short covering/profit taking following the declines we have seen since July 2015.

Due to the delayed dissemination of this information, this information should in no way be considered in any way as a trade recommendation or advice.

Highlighted Currency, net position and % change

Net Longs                                            Net Shorts

JY +53k, +17%                                    CD -15k, -20%

DA +18k, +9%                                    BP -37k, +176%

The most recent Commitments of Traders data shows some significant percentage changes in non-commercial futures only net positions from the prior week including the following:

A solid 20.28% decrease from 16,826 to 15,009 contracts net short of the Canadian dollar, which represents 3.86% of open interest;

A massive 176% increase from 13,619 to 37,723 contracts net short of the British Pound, which represents 9.79% of open interest;

A building 17.27% increase from 45,489 to 53,346 contracts long of the Japanese Yen, which represents 5.37% of open interest;

A trimming 14.83% decrease from 77,555 to 66,053 contracts net short of the Euro, which represents 3.55% of open interest;

A minor 9.85% increase from 16,413 to 18,030 contracts long the Australian dollar, which represents 1.45% of open interest;

A minor 0.93% increase from 17,511 to 17,674 contracts net long of the US Dollar Index, which represents 0.31% of open interest;

(Source: www.CFTC.gov)

For those interested in Stock Index Futures, it may be of interest that over the same period large speculators trimmed sharply their net short positions in E-Mini S&P 500 Stock Index Futures by 28.9% from 205,945 to 146,429 contracts.  Feel free to contact me directly for more specific information.

For more information on FuturePath Trading, LLC, PhotonTrader and other trading software demos as well as our Futures and Forex Brokerage services email paul@fptrading.net or call 312.987.2080.

Good Trading,

Paul Kavanaugh

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There is a substantial risk of loss in trading futures and options. Futures, options and foreign exchange trading are not appropriate for all investors.  Past performance is not indicative of future results. The information and data in this report were obtained from sources considered reliable. Their accuracy or completeness is not guaranteed and the giving of the same is not to be deemed as an offer or solicitation on our part with respect to the sale or purchase of any securities or commodities.  FuturePath Trading, LLC, its officers and directors may in the normal course of business have positions, which may or may not agree with the opinions expressed in this report. Any decision to purchase or sell as a result of the opinions expressed in this report will be the full responsibility of the person authorizing such transaction.

 

 

The Currency Report

The Currency Report

Large Currency Speculators cut back on net short Euro bets by over 30%, while also trimming net shorts in Canadian and Australian dollar, latest CFTC data shows…

2016 02 08 Euro

(Commitments of Traders Data)

Large Currency Speculators cut back on net short Euro bets by over 30%, while also trimming net shorts in Canadian and Australian dollar.  Trimming of bets short Euro, Australian and Canadian dollar may be indicative of profit taking by large speculators following significant declines since mid 2015, see chart above.

These significant percent change moves highlight one of the main goals of this report; which is to keep an eye on what large speculators have been doing over the longer term with their positions, with the assumption that they large speculators are positioning in the direction of the longer term trend.  Due to the delayed dissemination of this information, it should in no way be considered in any way as a trade recommendation or advice.

Highlighted Currency, net position and % change

Net Longs                                            Net Shorts

JY +37k, -25%                                     CD -52k -23%

AD -26k -20%

The most recent Commitments of Traders data shows some significant percentage changes in non-commercial futures only net positions from the prior week including the following:

A significant 23.83% decrease from 66,819 to 52,420 contracts net short of the Canadian dollar, which represents 10.42% of open interest;

A tiny 4.26% increase from 4,503 to 4,695 contracts net short of the Swiss Franc, which represents 0.32% of open interest;

A steady 1.57% decrease from 45,737 to 45,018 contracts net short of the British Pound, which represents 1.57% of open interest;

A sharp 25.55% decrease from 50,026 to 37,245 contracts long of the Japanese Yen, which represents 5.39% of open interest;

A key 31.55% decrease from 127,215 to 87,073 contracts net short of the Euro, which represents 9.94% of open interest;

A trimming 20.21% decrease from 32,798 to 26,168 contracts net short of the Australian Dollar, which represents 5.19% of open interest;

A small 1.46% increase from 44,225 to 44,872 contracts net long of the US Dollar Index, which represents 0

0.85% of open interest;

(Source: www.CFTC.gov)

For those interested in Stock Index Futures, it may be of interest that over the same period large speculators increased their net short positions in E-Mini S&P 500 Stock Index Futures by 71.31% from  131,871 to 225,905 contracts.  Feel free to contact me directly for more specific information.

For more information on FuturePath Trading, LLC PhotonTrader Software Demos and Futures and Forex Brokerage services email paul@fptrading.net or call 312.987.2080.

Good Trading,

Paul Kavanaugh

There is a substantial risk of loss in trading futures and options. Futures, options and foreign exchange trading are not appropriate for all investors.  Past performance is not indicative of future results. The information and data in this report were obtained from sources considered reliable. Their accuracy or completeness is not guaranteed and the giving of the same is not to be deemed as an offer or solicitation on our part with respect to the sale or purchase of any securities or commodities.  FuturePath Trading, LLC, its officers and directors may in the normal course of business have positions, which may or may not agree with the opinions expressed in this report. Any decision to purchase or sell as a result of the opinions expressed in this report will be the full responsibility of the person authorizing such transaction.

The Currency Report

The Currency Report

Large Currency Speculators increased by nearly one third net long Yen positions while remaining net short of other major currencies save the US dollar, latest CFTC data shows…

2016 02 01 JY

(Commitments of Traders Data)

CFTC data released Friday January 29, 2016 shows Large Currency Speculators increased by nearly one third net long Yen positions while remaining net short of other major currencies save the US dollar.

These significant percent change moves highlight one of the main goals of this report; which is to keep an eye on what large speculators have been doing over the longer term with their positions, with the assumption that they large speculators are positioning in the direction of the longer term trend.  Due to the delayed dissemination of this information, it should in no way be considered in any way as a trade recommendation or advice.

Highlighted Currency, net position and % change

Net Longs                                            Net Shorts

JY +50k +32%                                     CD -66k +0.1%

AD -32k +9%

The most recent Commitments of Traders data shows some significant percentage changes in non-commercial futures only net positions from the prior week including the following:

A mild 0.65% increase from 66,386 to 66,819 contracts net short of the Canadian dollar, which represents 0.26% of open interest;

A sharp 397.02% increase from 906 to 4,503 contracts net short of the Swiss Franc, which represents 6.46% of open interest;

A building 18.55% increase from 38,579 to 45,737 contracts net short of the British Pound, which represents 2.62% of open interest;

A significant 32.86% increase from 37,653 to 50,026 contracts long of the Japanese Yen, which represents 0.49% of open interest;

An important 7.15% decrease from 137,015 to 127,215 contracts net short of the Euro, which represents 2.44% of open interest;

A trimming 9.57% decrease from 36,267 to 32,798 contracts net short of the Australian Dollar, which represents 2.77% of open interest;

A small 3.39% increase from 42,775 to 44,225 contracts net long of the US Dollar Index, which represents 1.91% of open interest;

(Source: www.CFTC.gov)

For those interested in Stock Index Futures, it may be of interest that over the same period large speculators again decreased their net short positions in E-Mini S&P 500 Stock Index by 30.06% from 188,536 to 131,871 contracts.  Feel free to contact me directly for more specific information.

For more information on FuturePath Trading, LLC PhotonTrader Software Demos and Futures and Forex Brokerage services email paul@fptrading.net or call 312.987.2080.

Good Trading,

Paul Kavanaugh

There is a substantial risk of loss in trading futures and options. Futures, options and foreign exchange trading are not appropriate for all investors.  Past performance is not indicative of future results. The information and data in this report were obtained from sources considered reliable. Their accuracy or completeness is not guaranteed and the giving of the same is not to be deemed as an offer or solicitation on our part with respect to the sale or purchase of any securities or commodities.  FuturePath Trading, LLC, its officers and directors may in the normal course of business have positions, which may or may not agree with the opinions expressed in this report. Any decision to purchase or sell as a result of the opinions expressed in this report will be the full responsibility of the person authorizing such transaction.